Kasich has tenaciously stuck to his game plan, and I think it’s working. There are four tickets out of New Hampshire, and he looks to have earned one of them. Christie played the bully on Rubio, and it worked. Yes, now we all know big Chris Christie can talk tough. He hurt Rubio without managing to help himself.
So it should be Trump, Rubio, Cruz and Kasich heading into South Carolina. Cruz and Kasich support the Article V BBA, while Rubio wants a broader Convention that would include a BBA. Only three candidates, Trump, Fiorina and Christie, do not support amending the Constitution through Article V to get to a Balanced Budget Amendment.
Forget Article V for a moment. Does Trump even believe in a Balanced Budget Amendment , period? I think there’s a good chance he doesn’t. If he’s President, maybe he wants complete freedom with the budget. Any restraints on his awesome capacity to make deals would be counter productive. He hasn’t really thought it through, most likely. And as for Article V, he may very well have fallen under the sway of those who think it’s a communist plot. They’re the same kind of people who think Cruz is ineligible for the Presidency. They’re aren’t very many of these guys, but they’re definitely the types who would be most hard core for Trump. If that’s the case, there may be a chance for one of his competitors to expose his complete constitutional ignorance on this important subject.
This has got to be an opportunity for Kasich. He needs to distinguish himself from the others. Talking about the BBA, his work across the country for the Task Force, and how his experience chairing the Budget Committee convinces him that only a constitutional amendment will ever allow us to balance our revenue and spending. Of course, this can all be melded in with talk of his broader economic program.
I know it’s a little thing, but when Trump shooshed Jeb it pissed me off. Who does this guy think he is? What he is is a guy who compensates for his insecurity by playing the tough guy. He may hang on and win in New Hampshire, and I suppose there are ways where that’s not such a bad thing. But he coarsens the whole process, and I want him gone.
Hillary reminds me of these cheechakos you see on fishing streams in Alaska, all rigged up with their fancy Eddie Bauer gear, with a thousand dollar rod and no clue. She’s got all the trappings of a Presidential candidate, in spades. But when the music comes on she can’t dance. It’s painful to watch her try.
And the bettors, and Nate Silver, give her a 50-50 shot at winning the Presidency? Based on what? Polls? The results from 2012?
The latter, I guess. It’s looking backwards, not forward. And when I look forward I don’t see anything like 2012. They are two totally different elections, as different as night and day. To assume the composition and mood of the electorate will be as it was four years ago is to refuse to notice what’s happened for the past three years, plus. Like, oh, for instance, the implosion of Obamacare, exposing virtually every Democrat in the country as a calculating liar.
I’m getting fired up about this. I think I’m going to write an article for American Thinker. It will be an open challenge to Nate Silver. Explain yourself, sir.
Would you really take even odds on Hillary, Nate?