The Germans have had enough of war. It’s people are so averse to combat and the military that the once mighty German army is something of a joke. President Trump tries jawboning them into more military spending, but it’s no use. The German public won’t put up with it.
This is a good thing. Just 50 years ago satirist Tom Lehrer wrote:
“Once all the Germans were warlike and mean,
But that couldn’t happen again.
We taught them a lesson in 1918.
And they’ve hardly bothered us since then.”
NATO was formed to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down. But we don’t need to worry about the Germans any more. They’ve become Swedes.
In the 18th century the Dutch, Swedes, Spanish, Danes and Portuguese all suffered crushing military setbacks. They all just said to hell with it. Let someone else fight for empires. We’ll stick to commerce. This is the same decision the Germans have come to. A little late, but better late than never.
So if we have to fight the Russians, we can’t rely on the Germans for help. While Putin may be stupid enough to get in a fight with us, it won’t be yet another land war, with massive armies and tanks and artillery. We can break the Russians in other ways.
We could lay an embargo on the whole country. No ships or planes in, or out. Bomb their oil fields and pipelines. Cripple them.
NATO is a dead letter. But we can deter, or defeat, the Russians without it.