A Realignment Election in 2024?

The Democratic Party agenda has dominated American politics for the last 89 years, since 1932. Republican Presidents like Eisenhower, Nixon and the Bushes didn’t really challenge the Democratic narrative. Reagan and Trump did, but both left office with Democratic political dominance intact.

The Republican Party agenda dominated for 72 years, from 1860 to 1932. Grover Cleveland was only a nominal Democrat, and Wilson only won because Bull Moose Teddy Roosevelt split the Republican vote.

In other words, 1860 and 1932 were realignment elections. The winning coalitions lasted far beyond one or two Presidencies. They lasted generations.

It seems as if contemporary Democrats have a death wish, as if they were intentionally trying to alienate people. I’ve never seen anything like it in my life. In the political sense, these people have lost their minds.

I’ve got a feeling in my gut that 2024 is not only an historic landslide, but that incoming President Pence will prove a resounding success. If his successor is someone like Ron DeSantis, he, too, will be successful. An enduring political majority could be the result. Democrats may win the Presidency, but they won’t challenge the dominant, Republican narrative.

That narrative is, essentially, normalcy.

I may have felt this way before. I’ve been involved politically since 1960. Maybe it’s just wishful thinking.

But I think it’s going to make the next few years extremely interesting. If you like politics.

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